Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.279585 0.320902 0.365263 0.416322 0.473349 0.534963 0.606446
2025-12-07 0.207691 0.262414 0.325936 0.404637 0.499009 0.607991 0.742788
2025-12-14 0.161469 0.223314 0.300486 0.402692 0.533190 0.692820 0.901260
2025-12-21 0.125288 0.189071 0.274332 0.394480 0.556910 0.766077 1.052504
2025-12-28 0.105628 0.172518 0.267606 0.409088 0.609989 0.880170 1.265076
2026-01-04 0.089933 0.158308 0.261266 0.422296 0.661321 0.995415 1.488186
2026-01-11 0.075057 0.142256 0.249280 0.424861 0.696609 1.090310 1.689818
2026-01-18 0.062756 0.127821 0.237190 0.424921 0.727015 1.179368 1.888487
2026-01-25 0.052504 0.114777 0.225077 0.422761 0.752756 1.262298 2.082725
2026-02-01 0.044241 0.103632 0.214280 0.420899 0.777885 1.345032 2.280953
2026-02-08 0.037313 0.093595 0.203765 0.417800 0.799915 1.423503 2.476489
2026-02-15 0.031331 0.084184 0.192846 0.412291 0.816674 1.493781 2.662368
2026-02-22 0.027506 0.078820 0.189219 0.420193 0.858163 1.608552 2.928935
2026-03-01 0.023102 0.071075 0.179523 0.415212 0.875919 1.684613 3.136734
2026-03-08 0.019949 0.065642 0.173827 0.417337 0.906712 1.784743 3.390323
2026-03-15 0.016732 0.059188 0.164769 0.411315 0.921243 1.856975 3.600172
2026-03-22 0.015346 0.057484 0.166375 0.427972 0.981062 2.013485 3.963979
2026-03-29 0.013995 0.055535 0.167072 0.442639 1.037934 2.167752 4.331410
2026-04-05 0.012250 0.051878 0.162922 0.445879 1.071687 2.281040 4.631219
2026-04-12 0.010624 0.048115 0.157842 0.446283 1.099382 2.384254 4.917565
2026-04-19 0.009135 0.044341 0.152056 0.444235 1.121505 2.477789 5.190343
2026-04-26 0.007865 0.040935 0.146665 0.442416 1.143771 2.572550 5.469523
2026-05-03 0.006737 0.037662 0.141040 0.439255 1.162633 2.661366 5.741307